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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 28, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 A Gal for T J 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Erasmo’s Girl 1.60 1.1 2-1
4 4 Text Me Up 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Foresters Princess 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Phil in Echo 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Absolute Jewel 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Googly Eyes 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Retail Therapist 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Weehawken 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Souper Sinclair 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Ashbury 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Cloud Storage 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Anam Cara 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Onandonandon 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Celtic Revival 20.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Chrome’s Angel 1.40 4.2 8-1
3 3 Gold Forester 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Miss Bikini 3.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Speedy Johny 4.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Blonde Dynamo 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bill Needle 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hip to Your Tricks 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Mister Meseeks 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Groom Lake 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Perfect Play 5.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Quiet Rebel 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Rockland Express 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Robitaille 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Renegade Serenade 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Exude 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Flysofreeashleeb 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Junipero Serra 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Runaway Charlie 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Big Shooter 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Heliocentric 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Big Wicks 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Souper Flashy 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Spider Belle 15.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 My Sunny Valentine 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Michele M. 2.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Jab 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Pioneer’s Edge 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Now Is a Breeze 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 English Shirl 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rocket Joe Copper 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Timeskip 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Reliability 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Native Prince 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Hell Bent 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Coleyville 2.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 First Spring 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hot Omelet 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Stole the Ring 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Wanna Play 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Menagerie 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Sharp Aza Rainbow 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Its a Birdie 20.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Moon Pool 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Vivian Ann 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Taylormoon 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 T’pring 3.00 1 2-1
11 11 Alcom’soutinthwash 6.00 1.4 3-1
12 12 Castleton 8.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Hard Rock Warrior 15.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Fraulein Victoria 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Smart Irene 20.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Eva’s Record 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Blackmarsh 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Electric Lightning 20.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Bridge to Nowhere 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Miss Moe 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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