Site icon Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 29, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Two Rivers S.) – Two Rivers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Nothin Like You 0 0-1
1 1 Apollitical Payoff 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Nothin Like You 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Early Surprise 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Azola Baban 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Western Reserve 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Wieburg 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 B Zoomin 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Altoona Derby) – Altoona Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 A Legacy of Tales 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Curls Patti Wagon 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Till Next Time 8.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Sassie Savannah 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Miss Kt Perry 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Five Bar Signs 3.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Gigi Tianna 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Bhr the Bomb Dot Com 20.00 6 11-1
5 5 Relentless Summer 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Water Or Corona 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Valley Junction Junenile S.) – Valley Junction Junenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jess a Rednec Cowboy 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Relentless Fantsy 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 One Fabulous Dynasty 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Windsome 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sfs Emma Sies 5.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Presido Pete 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Lazles Lights 15.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 Bhr Flashing Nickers 15.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Rising Sun 123 15.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 Hes Cubas B 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Futurity) – Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sheza Famous Candy 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Cardiac Cowboy 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Little Barbie Tales 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Lipstick Lou 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Hamlyn 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Kvn a Streakin 5.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Eysa Ivory Girl 15.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Paint Me Downhill 4.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Miss Triana 15.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Skipp to My Lew 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ocean Ride 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Mo’s Mojo 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Swaggy George 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Sir Deputy 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Public Safety 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 North Side 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Mahomes 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Not Rocket Science 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sweet Stroll 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 C L Legacy 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Molly Bye O 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Nautical Miss 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Reba 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Farrah Fowler 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Bit a Bad News 3.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Song of Praise 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Lulus Flight Boots 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Catale 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Simmering 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hard Spirits 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Streakin’ Easy 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 The Awful Truth 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Rudy Tooty 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Kaylor 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Sing Lucy Sing 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flat Out Rose 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Rockets Sister 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Batter Up Betty 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Dreaminonthenile 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Biz B Quick 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Kasa 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Risky Whisky 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sugar Shack Queen 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Spanish Delight 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Samira 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 My Golden Day 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Demidanu 1.60 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shemeansbizness 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Halosnheaven 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Addababy 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Minnie’s Ready 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Bug a Boo 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Singing Emma 3.50 6.2 12-1
8 8 Bye Love Gotta Go 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Graydawn Day 15.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 War Music 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kobe’s Cause 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Tap the Brakes 8.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Midnight Rules 3.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Justice Once 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 A Brush of Luck 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Leading the Cause 4.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 On a Dare 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Colorful Native 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Prized Tap 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version