Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jackie’s Pride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boys and Bullets | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carpe All Day | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Almond Cider | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluey | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luckily Leyton | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caddy Man | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wishing Ona Prayer | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jolene Jolene | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runnin Redbird | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Super Duper Fly | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Head | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sirenetta | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Akna | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lookinatlightening | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heart Light | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Titanic Rose | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shea On a Mission | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Total Discretion | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Iyiyi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Goldieness | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Catch the Smoke | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Brad | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shpilkes | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Batter Up Bud | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dixie’s Two Stents | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Empire | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Spades | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Cat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bobby’s Candy | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spirit’s Hero | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jewels in the Bay | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Banker | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | If We Get Lucky | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bronx Tale | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Love | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Divine Miracle | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Game Time | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Breakin Cash | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yes Sir Colonel | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ron Don Scorese | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Porter | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Launch | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kingsville | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nancy Spain | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Girl | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Expectations Met | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cast Your Net | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spatial Reality | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Confirmed Star | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Wonder | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cocoa’s Vivian | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flirting | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Our Uptown Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Like Beth | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Moonlight | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonboots | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jezebel Jade | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Ransom | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shetalkstomuch | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flight | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t Wasting Time | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Cruise | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Civil War | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Traffic Master | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ahsad | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Supreme Being | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lemon Creek Louie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sea Trident | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ebben | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Geebert | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Timber | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Bob | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Honorary Degree | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zip It Scotty | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get Set | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tribal Notion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.