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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 3, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Im a Souperman 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Maticulant 3.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Squeezethesharman 20.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Blue Tango 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Spirit of Seattle 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Persevere 10.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Glorious Revenge 4.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Delirio 12.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Drillhall 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Turf and Surf 20.00 1 2-1
8 8 Serenading Hall 8.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Key Stroke 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Reins of Purple 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Menagerie 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Moon Pool 2.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Total Betty 12.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Mizz Gemma 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Amber Light 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Serenade At Sea 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Candy Street 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Hip to Your Tricks 3.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Wild Conversation 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Glenholme 10.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 The Swayze Express 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Mighty Pele 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Exult 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Langstaff Road 3.00 2 4-1
9 9 Be Like Clint 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Mo Tourist 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Muskoka Giant 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 October Frost 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Infamous Covert 6.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Confusing 15.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Jmr Pure Sensation 20.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Nikki Noots 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mendeljohn (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sea to Air 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Musical Stride 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Speedy Bubbles 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Fancy Phyllis 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Jmr Speedy Escape 2.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Passthepuddinpleaz 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Mr. Marshall 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Anselmo 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Stronger Together 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Bill Needle 10.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 C R Hot Shot 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Air Force Reserve 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Groom Lake 3.50 6.3 12-1
3 3 Bartica 6.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Robitaille 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Victoria’s Chief 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Colonel Mustard 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Midway Mischief 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Leslie Chow 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Silver Smoke 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Flawless Ruler 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Killary 8.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Aramos 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hicksy 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Take a Chance 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Beyond Borders 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Big Investment 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Tranquility Base 8.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Commander Tom 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Upstart Gentleman 5.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Monstrodamous 15.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Wenjack 20.00 9 17-1
3 3 Carmenootz 12.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Bocelli 20.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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