Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bettering | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mi Oscuro Secreto | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Family Factor | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dunphy | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neon Deion | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point At You | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Everyotherwon | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She Dazzle | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goshen | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Set the Pace | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quarterflash | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Will Virginia Dare | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sis Boom Bob | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fairy Cakes (GB) | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Harold’s Cloud | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghent | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enjoyment | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Bourbon | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Reign | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tropic Storm | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shotshell | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fasta Lavista Baby | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Del Mar | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Nancy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | City Shack | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wampus Kitten | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Big Banshee | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just an Opinion | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blenheim Baby | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Around the Sun | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Empirical View | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Herington Rocket | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mint Edition | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dance the Day Away | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Condone | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Dotsie | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Storm Bay | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Free Look | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Club | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tituba | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Best Performer | 2.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Star Fortress (IRE) | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sake (FR) | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Alybaer | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mailman Money | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icarus | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allege | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nautilus (BRZ) | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keystone Field | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ethical Judgement | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Search Engine | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midway Miracle | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Grantham | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hardy Choice | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vale | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | David’s Tuition | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love Spell | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Got the Bob | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bolt Above | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fearless Soldier | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean Pointe | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wizard of Westwood | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Toofareastiswest | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rarified Flair | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Really Good | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quadra Island | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kigali | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Cajun Fool | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Geno’s Myth | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | One Red Cent | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flying B B | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Catalina Crush | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midcat | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spin the Boulevard | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Give Me Liberty | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Palhaco | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Mesa | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charleston | 4.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Timing Difference | 8.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Petingas Twin | 12.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toolpusher | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.