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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 9, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fact Or Fiction 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Midnight Love 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 T G I F Alpha 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Blackjack and Beer 30.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Ned 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Puddin Head Jones 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Sir Looking Glass 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Thirsty Gambler 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Elwood Blues 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Devilish Desire 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Don Corleone 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Sneak a Smile 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Anniversaire d’Or 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Hey Brother 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiff With Jimmy 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Yvett’s Surprise 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Storming Gray 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Take Caramie 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Fever 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Lights Astern 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tokamak 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Ivory Sky 5.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 My Partner Glen 2.00 6 11-1
1 1 I Got a Guy 3.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Reef City 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Venom 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Diamonds Preferred 30.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Churchmeister 20.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Nyquiler 15.00 8.6 16-1
10 10 Aviator Nation 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Paco’s Pico 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mike Operator 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Egomania 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Signofthecross 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Sol Del Sur 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 My Indy 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cornelia Fort 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Issa Court 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Tizzy Twister 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Sweet Hello 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Hot Rod Mama 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Warrior Lady 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Roman Empress 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Red Cross Knight 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rodrigoknows 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Buck Owens 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Discretionary Day 3.50 4 7-1
1 1 Nolongerahobby 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Star Prospect 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Top Gun Tommy 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Lansdowne (GB) 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Mongolian Legend 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 El Diablo Rojo 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Head for Business 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Conch Daddy 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Subsidize 4.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Sonic Brees 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Trusty Rusty 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starlet S.) – Starlet S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chatalas 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Nothing Like You 1.80 2.4 4-1
6 6 Grazia 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Great Forty Eight 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Pacific Rose 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Flynn’s Chance 8.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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