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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 10, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thor’s Cause 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Buck’s Fizz 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Dubawi Bull 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Speedy Bulleit 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Jo Daddy 5.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Hurricane Deshambo 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 True Shot 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pat’s Gamble 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jaggersgotagun 12.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 The New Maybe 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Midnight Tempesta 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Political Warfare 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Clive Cross 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Gee Que 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Wildfire 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Forest Star 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Point to the Stars 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Remembering Rhoda 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Prince of Thieves 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Chromeplated Heart 2.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Musical Stride 2.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Orphan Hallie 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Aim for the Sky 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Emicrack (CHI) 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Luv to Win 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Determined Fury 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Spite Store 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Highland Life 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Lenny K 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Royal Quality 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Ondine Lady 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Ottawa 1.80 2.1 4-1
4 4 Happy Quad 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Town’s Warrior 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Road to Versailles 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Alliston 20.00 5 10-1
5 5 War Empire 15.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Mount Horeb 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wagner 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 American Decision 10.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Pierre 3.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Maximus Magic 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Panyard Tap 6.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Backonthechaingang 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Fascination Street 12.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Beyond Adversity 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Monday Morning 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Gilt Edge 12.00 10 19-1
4 4 Frac City 20.00 11.6 22-1
2 2 Khopesh 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hall of Dreams 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Take Charge Sousi 4.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Souped Up 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Stowaway 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Stayhonor Goodside 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Wicked Django 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Romeo Yankee 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Quiet Sunday 10.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Red Line Overdrive 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Nikki Noots 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Silver Smoke 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Steady Growth S.) – Steady Growth S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Cruden Bay 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Mason’s Gamble 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Secret Reserve 10.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Ron’s Gizmo 20.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Avoman 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Perfect Crime 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Grandson 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Dun Drum 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Town Cruise 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Artie’s Storm 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Rapid Test 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Frosted Over 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Border Town 1.20 1.9 4-1
2 2 Ironstone 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Armstrong 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Last American Exit 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Forester’s Fortune 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Owen’s Tour Guide 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Midway Mischief 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sovereign Cause 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Souper Sunshine 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Lobby Bar 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Secret Storm 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Magnificent Mario 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Star Scholar 20.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Adelaide Court 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Diamond Heist 12.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Butwaitthere’smore 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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