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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Casey 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Creme Caramel 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Isabella Smile 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Risque’s Jewel 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Miss Alex 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Sense a Million 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Xenatown 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wizard Serrat 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Causalistic 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Artistic Reason 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sophos 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Kodapendent 3.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Moliere 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Excursion 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Instinctive 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 More Ransom 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Tiz a Sharpie 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Not a Trace 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 A Bit Bad N Boujee 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Kentucky Pride 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Tonala 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Splicethemainbrace 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mega Charlie 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Shivaree 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Celtic Treasure 6.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Rerally 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 We Be There 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 More Than a Dance 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Fire’s Finale 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fast Intentions 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Without a View 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Starship Blanca 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 Carly Hustle 15.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Frame This 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Londonderry 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 J J Loves Billy 10.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Oui Madame 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Snappy Ride 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alma Brilha 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Gypsy Wanderer 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Go Chloe Go 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Bacall 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Maria Says So 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Hyacinth Bucket 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Golden Boss Lady 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Mummalicious 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Practical Coach 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Senior Investment 4.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Vine Jet 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Olympic Romp 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Maxim Moment 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Hornbeam 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Finalist 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Silver Edge 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Et’s Magic Man 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Strugar 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Word On a Wing 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Pardsy 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Jarlian 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Jebologist 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Hotpot 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Big City Bob 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Masrour 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Golden Candy 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Aggrandize 4.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Genghis 5.00 5 9-1
2 2 Pylon 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Akemi 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Neigh Dude 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bullet On Tap 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Peach Be With Q 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Super Duper Fly 8.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Riverview 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Jackie B Good 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 La Luisa 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Now Act Surprised 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Bella Maria 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Princess Emma Jo 20.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Caliente Rum 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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