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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 14, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Muskoka Summer 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Big Ginger 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Swirling Dancer 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Perfect Provision 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Taylormoon 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Moonbright 8.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Very Savvy 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Daddy’s Daisy 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 T’pring 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Crystal the Pistol 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Few Regrets 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sweeping Passion 10.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Neolithic Nation 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Royal Chrome 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Shez a Sealy 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Moet Monet 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Gavel Girl 15.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Gunnawin 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tatoosonmysoul 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mia and Me 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fancy Phyllis 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Midnight Moonshine 4.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Mendeljohn (IRE) 1.60 1.5 3-1
5 5 Passthepuddinpleaz 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Wild Conversation 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 C R Hot Shot 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Uncle Remi 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Trizzel Trazzel 0 0-1
6 6 No Whammie 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Loaded Vixen 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Trizzel Trazzel 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Airy Fairy 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Dreaming of Audrey 2.50 4.2 8-1
11 11 Bodacious Miss 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Charlotte’s Silver 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Northern Ruby 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Endorphin Rush 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Mi Tormenta 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Hit and Run 20.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Color Force 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sister Cousin 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Goodnightngodbless 3.00 2.4 4-1
10 10 Ladies Rum 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 I’m Awesome 20.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Silent Patsy 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Silver Lasso 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Empty Chairs 8.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Brazilian Legacy 10.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Bling d’Money Home 15.00 9 17-1
8 8 Hyper Awakening 12.00 10.1 19-1
12 12 Poetic Amy 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lodge Hill 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Executive Effect 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 I’m Exceptional 20.00 2 4-1
7 7 Turf and Surf 20.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Wahrer Schatz 3.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Silver Sign 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Lillz Hope 3.50 3.6 7-1
10 10 Thatsitthatsall 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Golden Train 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Tenpenny Nail 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Sweet Nola 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Crimson Nights 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wildfire 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Another Pinky 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Tachyon Speed 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Tapping a Rhythm 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Port Renfrew 2.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Work It Baby 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Look At Lil Sister 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Smoken Chloe 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Forever Danish 10.00 3.5 7-1
14 14 I’m Phantom 12.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Gentle Seas 4.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 Almonte Princess 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Blackmarsh 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Defamation 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Iron Princess 20.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 I’m Snow Angel 3.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Tangerine Twist 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Sake and Sushi 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 My Girl Loli Pop 12.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Momascrest 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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