Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Belle of the Ball | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stop Giggling | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Graceful | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dramatic Effect | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chiara | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avalanche Is Comin | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Memphis | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aula | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stjames | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anthracite | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Masterwork | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Purchase | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grandpa’s Kid | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strapped | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Nova Rags | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Baby Yoda | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Spun and Won | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | B Dawk | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bourbon Music | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beachwalker | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Cowan | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | He’smyhoneybadger | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Voleuse | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malu | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Accelerina | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unholy | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Montauk Mystique | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Tallahassee | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Essential Life | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dale Avenue | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Centavo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Co Conspirator | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blake B. | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goldini | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Friends Beer | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Wicked | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hammerin Aamer | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pit Boss | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rayya Valentine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Girvina | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tooshay | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Misintention | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shirl’s Delight | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Why Waste Words | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Jersey Girl | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Watch Over Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aggelos the Great | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always a Warrior | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perliano | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Detective Tom | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ice the Kicker | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischief Joke | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Running Lucky | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elysian Meadows | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Slammin Gold | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Taporical | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bonne Chance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clover Street | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lavon | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Longlive the Queen | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bern Rosey Bern | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dashing Della | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Supers Lucky Lady | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freddymo Factor | 50.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fancy Feline | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Better Humor Me | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Reigning Chick | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jackson Avenue | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Harlan’s Bond | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.