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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 15, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Class Clown 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 She’s Bulletproof 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Diamonds Danzing 4.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Ko Olina 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Wishtheyallcouldbe 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Shanghai Sunrise 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Paleo’s Princess 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Broken Circle 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Play Chicken 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Too Much Info 10.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Derecho Dandy 2.00 2 4-1
7 7 Relaxed Artist (IRE) 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Tiz Tok 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Noble Union 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Creative Way 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Geezer 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Meesh 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Grazed 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Cribbage Board 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Spiritual Advisor 10.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Disko Tribute 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Stay in the Game 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 On the Whim 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lonesome Stew 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Habeas 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Mega Moon 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Blue Cheese Olive 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Cool Papa G 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Amigo G A 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 King Zog 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Western Sierra 10.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Prince Graygray 20.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Speed of the Nile 20.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Unusual Win 4.50 6.8 13-1
6 6 Hungry Hearts 3.50 7 13-1
5 5 Ransom Call 8.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Smarty Nose 8.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Toledo Rocket 3.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Departure 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Alpine Thunder 15.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Taishan 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Mo Rewards 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Zimba Warrior 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Speed Grazy 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Bravestone 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 She’s Resilient 3.00 1 2-1
3 2 Barbera 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 3 Mango Moon 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 98 Keep Your Coil 0.00 3.6 7-1
4 98 Trouble N Paradise 0.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Dancing Soul 2.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Swift Nonni 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 6 Your Ringer 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bayakoa S.) – Bayakoa S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Midnight Memories 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Violent Runner 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Desert Dawn 1.20 4.6 9-1
5 5 Turnerloose 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Ganadora 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Smoothlikebuttah 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Trouville 15.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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