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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Livehappy 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ridgewood Runner 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 First Trumpet 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Have You Heard 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Strat Mo Matic 2.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bargaining Power 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Grand Again 30.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Compromiser 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Munny for Nuthin 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Editor’s Choice 20.00 5 10-1
5 5 Burton Way 1.80 SCRATCH
1 1 Uncle Kendric 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Motivo 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Joking Way 15.00 1 2-1
2 1 Kupp 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 5 Street Swagg 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 9 Devil’s Cay 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 7 Ten Cent Town 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 10 Clubhouse 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 6 Alternate Reality 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 8 Rock the Weekend 20.00 5.1 10-1
1A 4 Thunderian 2.00 SCRATCH
1 2 President Z 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
She’s Mo Bubbly 0 0-1
1 1 Ichiban 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 She’s Mo Bubbly 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Paris Style (FR) 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Coppa Girl 1.40 6.4 12-1
5 5 Ocean Gateway 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Freudian 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Sweetie 12.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Dreamawayseven 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Natural Harbor 2.50 1 2-1
1A 5 Borletti (IRE) 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Bayou Spirit 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Screaming Uncle 4.50 4 8-1
9 10 Pine Valley 30.00 4.2 8-1
8 9 The Cobbler 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 8 Collect From Ike 15.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Return the Ring 8.00 4.8 9-1
10 11 Narciso Dali 5.00 5.7 11-1
1 2 Uncle George 5.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Sharpaz 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Rocket and Roll 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Waralo 6.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Kid Billy 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Locke and Key 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Amedeus Music 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Dr. Kraft 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Leo and Royal 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Leftembehind 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 The Revenger 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bad Larry 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Noble Huntsman 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kunshan Bridge 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Disarmed 6.00 1.9 3-1
5 5 Savings Rate 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Ocean’s Reserve 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Just Call Ray 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Shipsational 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Best Bet 5.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Leddy 50.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Bezos 50.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Book of Wisdom 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Soloshot 6.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Sun and Wind 30.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Artemis Girl 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Walk With Me 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 My Shea D Lady 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 My Perfect Mistake 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Miss Lao 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Holder Close 50.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Elite Status 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 E Stormy 20.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Tour Jete 8.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Heavyweight Champs 0 0-1
9 9 B D Saints 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Antonio of Venice 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 King Freud 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 The Big Torpedo 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Profitability 30.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Liberty Central 8.00 4 7-1
10 10 Solo in Paris 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Heavyweight Champs 12.00 4.3 8-1
13 13 Palace Boss 20.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Brick Ambush 3.50 5.4 10-1
11 11 Solo’s Fury 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Solo Empire 20.00 6.1 11-1
14 14 Kaz’ Mega Bank 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Wo Hop 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sol Emperatriz 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Kaymus 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 High Track 3.50 2.2 4-1
10 9 Mangia 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Mel’s Angel 20.00 3 6-1
3 3 Dactilografa 20.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Awesome Glo 15.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Khali’s Storm 12.00 4 8-1
9 8 Nigeria 30.00 4.6 9-1
12 11 No Layups 8.00 5.1 10-1
13 12 Six O Three 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Going for Glory 15.00 SCRATCH
8 98 Mastery’s Secret 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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