Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Strickland | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deluca | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Brother Mike | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shameful Alliance | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Moves | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fight’n Ready | 0.80 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Woods Miracle | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | More Money Mo | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Super Nova | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bayron | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whooping Jay | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic King | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Square Deal | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Strings | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Rare Stripe | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ian Glass | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cabot | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Black Storm | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trappe Valley | 10.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morning Snow | 5.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Campisi | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildwood Ministry | 8.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Color Fast | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Summer Shoes | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Connie K | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lover Girl | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dealing Justice | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bow Draw | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back to Ohio | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leeloo | 2.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chandana | 4.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promises to Dance | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Major Blue | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Jack | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Car Wash | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Light | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Life Is Hard | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Ocho (CHI) | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | League of Legends | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Walker’s Win | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Manuelito | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Babas Gal | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Babe in the Woods | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Choctaw Grace | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bolt | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Collier | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Erumpent | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Gin N Class | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cowgirl Camille | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kat’n Chrome | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chip Shortage | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rita’s Revenge | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Global Risk | 3.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tale of La Bee | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bang Bang Fury | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arijana’s Pearl | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ruby Queen | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Big Calhouna | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritual Lady | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catholic Sue | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midshipman’s Dance | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cleopatra Selene | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Safecracker Sue | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Safe Bet | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Millers Rite | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trabr’s Creed | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Again | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kant Conquer Me | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Be There | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Keating | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xcellent Men | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pineland | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raging | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Navy Seal | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Armagnac | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nautical Star | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shooters Shoot | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exxel | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Count de Monet | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stayed in for Half | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deflater | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Derby Date | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vulcan | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Tinsel S.) – Tinsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Seize the Night | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Quality | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Denington | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Campaign | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Bias | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ardanwood | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Crown | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lassie My Girl | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Lass | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Music Mistress | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Way Or Another | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Timbavati | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Missy Piggy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mocha Kiss | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fly Like the Wind | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Hot Springs Bling | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rivercrest Girl | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hamazing Debate | 4.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Night Orb | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Strategy | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Chai Tea | 12.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.