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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 17, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Around the Dial 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Perfecto Amor 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Boomer Justice 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Big Cheddar 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Spire 30.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 New Every Morning 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Dr. Troutman 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Divine Feminine 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Pedro Perez 15.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Mongolian Box 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Midnight Fury 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Wegonahavagoodtime 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Lansdowne (GB) 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Tangledupingrey 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Mo Rewards 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Atkins 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 K P Kwest 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Worth Looking 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Conquest Celsius 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Big Rainbow 2.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Elegant Kid 5.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Zacango Pride 12.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Smiling Widow 4.50 6.8 13-1
7 7 Warren’s Wild Ride 6.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Dixie Blaze 6.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Strikeflash 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Duran 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bad Sneakers 1.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Precision Strike 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Riverside 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Player B 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 City of Angels 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Awesome Taylor 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Willamina 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Two Twelve 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Flatterwithjewels 1.80 3.9 7-1
6 98 Trouble N Paradise 0.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Tiz the Prospect 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Beautyinthebeast 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 C’Mon Lets Switch 30.00 1 2-1
7 7 Classical 8.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Adventuresome 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Hot Legs Romolo 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Mobe Town 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Streetlight People 4.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Running for Cosi 15.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Handsome Ticket 2.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tickle My Fancy 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tiff With Jimmy 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Stay in Line 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Lady Wolf 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Con Seal and Kerry 5.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Corporal Violette (IRE) 4.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Ropers N Wranglers 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Jordan 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Flat Out Joy 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Rock N Roll Song 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Wrong Turn Cupid 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Tapit Doux 2.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Daisy Dancer 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 True Friend 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Alex’s Girl 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Red Noon Rising 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Duty First 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Magnificent Ride 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Arrest 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Tofino Bay 12.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Jimmy the Boot 8.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 All the King’s Men 8.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Carpe Bellum 6.00 9 17-1
7 7 Big Splash 8.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Road of Love 30.00 9.4 18-1
10 10 Take Charge Curly 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fact Or Fiction 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Beau Soleil 2.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Mr. Suds 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Des Doigts 5.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Halo Uncle 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Beer Money 1.80 3.4 6-1
8 8 Wicked Facts 20.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Pavel Puff 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bright Leaf 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Devil Be Me 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Shortman 5.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Cowboy Mike 2.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mischelof (CHI) 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Low Expectations 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Impossible Task 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Caisson 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (King Glorious S.) – King Glorious S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mici’s Express 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Last Call London 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Gentlemen’s Club 15.00 2 4-1
1 1 Stay On the Fence 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Stolen Treasure 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Clever Clover 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Tom Seaver 3.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Size Does Matter 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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