Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Runtoday | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Codetowin | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Provost | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drive for Fun | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wise Anchor | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gotta Go | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cousvinnysacanuck | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | American Tsunami | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jaydyn Cat | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Convalidation | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runtolive | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready for Thunder | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Extra | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afraid Im Notcents | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hangin’ Tuff | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spiritual Mirage | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Speed | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cool Ride | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jude’s Lil Rouge | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pound Out a Deal | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glamordini | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patek | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Prospect | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not Likely | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ketanji | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Charge It | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wheresthecartgirl | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sho Nuff | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lunch Lady | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flying I | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Look Ethel | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kimberly’s Jackpot | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Stormy Elle | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Andiamo Giacomo | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Target Practice | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dried Pepper | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thrill Ride | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ferocity | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | D Two | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Louis Le Grande | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hunter Quick | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Raise You | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Myfriendsawinner | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ourperfectprincess | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Serape | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’wild Muffin | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loneshilohspecial | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Track Smart | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Say What | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Adeau | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sophie’s Prayer | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Adieu Aces | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seehoss | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Heart Legend | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Charlie | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risktaker | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heartthrob Halo | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loveu and Proudofu | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Son Carlos | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Janis | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Love | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Holiday Flowers | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amelies Dreamer | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whorl Girl | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Lola | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Boss Lady | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Katie Bug’s Legacy | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gemmy | 5.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tensas Clear | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | She’s the Sheriff | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.