Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Caricia | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | West Side Girl | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hissy Missy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Priddis | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emityaaz | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Everyotherwon | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Dynasty | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miz Cali | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Sagey | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Notorious Sixohtwo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | County Judge | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corked | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Perp Walk | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | We Miss Arlington | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mischievous Max | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sam’s Promise | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Diversion | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Superhero | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Tappy Tone | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Mother Mary | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thisonesforlove | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caly Bali | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greek Heiress | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer of Mischief | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Humor Me Jim | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Music Mistress | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pivosky | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beautiful and Bold | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Ghost Bayou | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Key to Success | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Amaretto Di Amore | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gucci Boy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violent River | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Darvesh | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lundberg | 1.40 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Stick | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon On Fire | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light Horse Harry | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Safe Bet | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tap Your Heart | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Motown Collection | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | State School Smart | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Singing Groom | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nacho Chrome | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Secret Honor | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dario | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancin Rocket | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Memes | 1.60 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Preacher’s Kid | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Commander | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Great Barrier | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Super Nova | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Scrimshire | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Infiltrator | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Husker Butch | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guided Arrow | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Jack | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mean Jakey | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Al’s Romeo | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Constitution | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Threefiftyseven | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hi Yah | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City of Clouds | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lemon Drop Shot | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Runninthestreets | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Shoes | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Painter | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Count It All Joy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Reaux Bina | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aloha Baby | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adamantly | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kokomo Starlet | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ngala | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | This Damsel Mayfly | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smokin Motion | 30.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Miss Jet | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Melania T | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Skelly | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Walker’s Win | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edge to Edge | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Necker Island | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manny Wah | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Wellington | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Payne | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tut’s Revenge | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Friar Laurence | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ultimate | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Poinsettia S.) – Poinsettia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | High Class | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Topsy | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Margoinabubblebath | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chandana | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m the Boss of Me | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Storming | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dealing Justice | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fashion Rage | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missyintomischief | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wildwood Bye | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always Angels | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Honey Run | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pate | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caumsett | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lacey Boss | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tyrona | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hartley | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Lady Jae | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Sister Sue | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Abby the Bull Dawg | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Backyard Money | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.