Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Low Society | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tavin | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anna’s Wish | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Progeny | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Antenna | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kaymus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Full Moon Madness | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kool Kathmandu | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who Hoo Thats Me | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kupp | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bezos | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notah | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady Progress | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Steady Progress | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phantom Jewel | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dudley Dickerson | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Love Cara | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Surrender | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Lister | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Compromiser | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Comanche Peak (GB) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Neuschwanstein | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Barnstorming | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Face Abarrio | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Capone | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Uncle George | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Bobby the Tank | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Kant Beat the Rock | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Starry Midnight | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghostly Girl | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Feel the Need | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Nyquist | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Kristy | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dolce Sera | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Mason Mania | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lord Gatling | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Forty Two Ace | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Centavo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Charlie Five O | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Blu Grotto | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ebben | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Critical Threat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Warriors Revenge | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | What’s Up Bro | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Thrill of It | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Writer’s Regret | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bronx Bomber | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Scilly Cay | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Horn of Plenty | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Big Engine | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | My Man Matty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Reddington | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anthracite | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disappearance | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Winning Connection | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Provision | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Complete Agenda | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iron Works | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Street Cop Officer | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Lights | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.