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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dylan’s Dream 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 No Cost 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Don’t Be Bossy 6.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Princess Fanny 5.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Highly Grand 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Easy Bet 6.00 8 15-1
2 2 Moni Design 6.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Jovie G 10.00 8.4 16-1
7 7 Tall Tale 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Sam’s Town S.) – Sam’s Town S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Todo Fino (CHI) 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Geaux Sugar 12.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Tape to Tape 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Devil’s Tower 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Empire of Gold 3.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Pickens 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Maladjusted Misfit 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Secret Road 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Saint Gabriel 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Majestic Palace 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Knight’s Gold 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Titanium Deal 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 So Many Stories 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Heartbreak Kid 2.50 1 2-1
12 12 Insignis 8.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Love a Fighter 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Hullinahurry 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Presumptive Closer 3.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Proudtown 5.00 7 13-1
1 1 Grosse Tete Ian 10.00 7 13-1
5 5 Saberman 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Out Making Treble 4.50 8.5 16-1
2 2 Clever Prince 10.00 10.1 19-1
7 7 Angola Vacation 15.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Muletrain 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Lots of Gold 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Itsnotmyjob 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Debbies Passage 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Summer Is Hot 4.50 5.8 11-1
9 9 Knights Sword 6.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Stella’s Surprise 8.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Bind On Earth 10.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Sassy Emma 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Donnas Final Word 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Starbuck Luck 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Madison’s Screen 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tensas Bertie 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Ann’s Storm 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Bri 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Beyond d’Oro 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Dream Town 3.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Emmas Ruler 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Lacis Jewel 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ring Twice 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cora Pearl 3.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Cant Attack Arch 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Lady Dreamer 5.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Shellby 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Cajun Gumbow 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Miss Jamie 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Orleans S.) – Orleans S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beyond Awesome 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Jumpin Judy 3.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Two Minute Drill 8.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Calabrian Queen 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Flashy Meg 10.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Blessed Assurance 6.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Tiz Magic 8.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Gracie Diamond 12.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Won Day 4.00 9.6 18-1
3 3 Soy Una Dama (CHI) 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Easy Act 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Arms Apriority 6.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Gotteminabind 2.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Beulah K 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Payton’s Indian 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Cousin Vickie 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Geaux Vote 6.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Cat B Cause 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Bye Bye Big Baby 20.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Zeerock 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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