Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | A’debris | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All of Us | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flash Freddie | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dial Uncle Joey | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Razz | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tha Illest Deal | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Ridge | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunset War | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Toast | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allotrope | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Shipman | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broken Hearts Bay | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Expect a Dancer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frosted Diamond | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Psalm Prayer | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Baileys Bro | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassi D | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Poppa Magic | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | All Together | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catch Me T | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tincan Cat | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Country | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Clyde Jester | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doss | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamic Moon | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Straighten Up | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Texas Turbine | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Jefe Cobb | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golduster | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Halo Moon | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Raul’s Encanto | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bulletsrevenge | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dusty Hill | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gildersleeve | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Tough Charlie | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C C’s Legacy | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Flashy Boy | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Party Gras | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heartbreak Kid | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Insignis | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Define | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captains Cove | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soulology | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forty Strangers | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ghost Cowboy | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Mic Tiesun | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carlos’s Mama | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Akasi | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ashley’s Girl | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shesaheatwave | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Start Well | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond the Hype | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Trip | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mschitchattour | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prado’s Priority | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Double Barrel Man | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Draft Choice | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prizeless | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hostile Afleet | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkin | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Custom Blue Grass | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Palace | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slither | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | No White Flags | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Biloxi | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woods N Water | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Day | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | French Composer | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean of Storms | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fleetridge | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Koufax | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kasens Tribe | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Abbey Cakes | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cupie Cutie | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Adayinspain | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Cheetah | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spooky Guitar | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blueridgeballerina | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ad Libitum | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loco Barn Senorita | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katie Bug’s Legacy | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.