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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Drop Dead Sexy 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Country Lady 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Ours and Theirs 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Isolation 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Miss Kennedy 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 A Runnin Afleet 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Custom Bobby’s 0 0-1
5 5 Unified Report 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Robo 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mister Chairman 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Twirling Roses 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Custom Bobby’s 4.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Seven Scents 4.50 6.4 12-1
2 2 Beealea 8.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Sunshine Charlie 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Hoosier 0 0-1
6 6 Reverent 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Hoosier 4.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Inthealy 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Totally Addicted 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Astrologysprotege 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 The Three Ks 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Cigar Van 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Gem of Carlos 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Little Jen 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Ironit 4.50 1.4 3-1
11 11 Darling Joanna 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Beautiful Ending 4.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Calaja 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Classical Magnolia 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Czar’s Ballerina 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Visionista 10.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Sikara Sikara 6.00 7.6 14-1
12 12 Mi Lia 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 I Dont Know Either 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kenya Strike 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Our Little Girl 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Super Et 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ms. Cajun Queen 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thetruthisthetruth 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Canada’s Customs 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Fouralivia 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Miss Priority 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Royal O’Haigain 6.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Half Page 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Sienna Breeze 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Galaxy Thirtysix 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Straight and Level 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Agent Creed 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Solid Country Gold 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Brigade Commander 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Maasai Warrior 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Monjid 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Treaty 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Pike Place 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Glen Airy 15.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Professor Higgins 15.00 9.9 19-1
13 13 Bench 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Sunday Breeze 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Uncle Jake 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pyrenees 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Luna Vieja 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Dapper Dude 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Champlin 0 0-1
4 4 Bettera 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Eirik Ridge 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Great Runner 12.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Goldentown 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Practically Dark 3.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Champlin 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Present Moment (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Granato 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Blissful 3.50 3.9 7-1
9 9 Best Performer 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Miss Riddler 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Elle Est Forte 4.50 5 9-1
1 1 Lady Jeopardy 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Russian Mafia 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Shirley’s Temple 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Girl Named Charlie 20.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Princess Fawzia 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Rastani 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Financial Advice (FR) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nicely Unified 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Carolina Jacy 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Brielle Evangeline 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 My Sugar Fix 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Betonya 30.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Talkabout 5.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Jazz Jazz Jazz 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Dreamed I Am Fast 30.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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