Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Sweets | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bonnie Parker | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Molly Malone | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harlee | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Philly Thing | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Far too Foxy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Sheboygan | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nezy’s Girl | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alcala | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Estrela | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Keep It Sexy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mucho Misstique | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One of the Ones | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Only Girl | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wine Goddess | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Practical Rachel | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yeloma | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamaican Mi Hazel | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Center Mid Maddie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Satchel de Ritches | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mundo Mix | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Manolete | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cousin Andrew | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haney Boys | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smarthumor | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Almond Cider | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nasty Habit | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Respirator | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Z Dancer | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Social Acceptance | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polish Up | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hundred Grand | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McChayne | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nimble Beast | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dee Bo | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mischievous Juan | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nick the Cardshark | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lazaretto | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hide the Ransom | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Guy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crafty Don | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jump Shot | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catch My Vibe | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Fly Over | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Rack Gin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Runandscore | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nicky Da Fox | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Dancer | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crack the Code | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Houghton | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Humble Joe | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R Rooster | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Georgy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Stardom | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mad Maxey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Sophie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Western Dream | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Peyton’s College | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Peach Perfect | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runnin Redbird | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Solemn Oath | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Chamita | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fairy Dreams | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tilsa | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wonder City | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ninja Abarrio | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cloud Music | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Doctor Doom | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Warden | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rex Kwon Do | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liam’s Blue Moon | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Primordial Fear | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | About the Multiple | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caddy Man | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Porsupuesto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Plenty of Time | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Vow | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Traffic Master | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jewels in the Bay | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smokin Holiday | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marvelousmoondance | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spirit’s Hero | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nickel Nickel | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sunset Town | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bobby’s Candy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ira the Icon | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gamerun | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zoppi Fischbein | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Big Brown Shoes | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dathoss | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big City Bob | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Liberty Star | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rejected Again | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Jones | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Box of Chocolates | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Heffner | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jebologist | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dadashev | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Indirectly | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hotpot | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Maxim Moment | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Lord Uhtred | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
