Site icon Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Four Eyes 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 First Sons 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Majestic Arc 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Support the Cat 20.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Call Bob 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Alpha Sonny 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Independent Paul 3.50 6.1 12-1
2 2 Ring Me 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Leadership Ability 0 0-1
6 6 Ocean Gateway 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Leadership Ability 5.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Charisse 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Ghostly Girl 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Lady Banker 6.00 4 7-1
2 2 Dolce Sera 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Mytown Myrules 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Borletti (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Three Zero 2.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Al’s Frosted 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Redemption Road 15.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Gun Maestro 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Sharpaz 3.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Golden Purchase 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Alley’s Song 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Kaymus 3.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Pretty Up 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Grace Reformed 12.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Tavin 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Dorth’s Sol Dancer 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Classic Diva 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Baroness Bourbon 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Collect the Data 0 0-1
7 7 Call Her Bluff 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sol Emperatriz 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Collect the Data 1.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Find Your Joy 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Snarky 8.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Dactilografa 30.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Jen’s Kiss 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Toast to Success 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Brooklyn Rosie 20.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Jay’s Love 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Colonel Vargo 1.60 1 2-1
9 10 F F Rocket 4.00 4.6 9-1
7 8 Swift Tap 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Mount Travers 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Anything Pazible 50.00 5.3 10-1
1 4 First Deputy 3.50 5.5 10-1
8 9 What’s My Category 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 He’sgottashortfuse 30.00 6.1 11-1
6 7 Winning Drive 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Amundson 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Callaloo 12.00 3 6-1
8 8 D’ont Lose Cruz 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 The Institute 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Rocket and Roll 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Radio Red 2.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 General Banker 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Market Alert 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Allied Attack 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Solo Empire 20.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Li’l Lang 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Fratellino 50.00 5.3 10-1
13 13 Saint Gaudens 5.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Palace Boss 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 This Time Yes 30.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Last Drink 6.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Janssen 50.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Irish Tenor 10.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Red Flyer 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Heavyweight Champs 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sorority Prank 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version