Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boardwalk Queen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Charge It | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ketanji | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wheresthecartgirl | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pintora | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gatsby’s Gift | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Space Pirate | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flying I | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Away Samari | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boston Belle | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bell Pepper | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Brightnmorningstar | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tap Galore | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runtolive | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Deal Ryan | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sarah’s Court | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Her Away | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Communicationiskey | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Samurai’s Grandson | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chipeee | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suit of Wands | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Night Train | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Astrology Wonowon | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corte | 10.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smooth Custom | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dee’s Legs | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boss Man Zong | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tommy Six Fingers | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Inglis | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Now Now Saint | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Running Late | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Itwasthisbig | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lo Lo’s Laughter | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Time | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wood River | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thundertakesdalead | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fahan | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Temple City Run | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cabro Toro | 3.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Mandate | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oxxon | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Overtaxed | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Eli | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Limonite | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurts So Bad | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Penetrator | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. B Cause | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moro Mafia | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tensas Toddy | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wesleyan | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gottatakehimto | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dusty Boy | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Honorarian | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Ami | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Native Star | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Z’s Guitar | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Steauxlit | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Iron N Steel | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Pal Sweet | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papiringo | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Josan | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Racy Bille | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zippy Toga | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King of Contraband | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ring Twice | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Izatiz | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Another Hot Mess | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Akiane’s Soldier | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Ways | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Friend Amy | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel’s Melody | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cute Dinero Queen | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lutie Mo | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Good by Faith | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Lucky Break | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Low Euro Cat | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Missed My Bet | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Leslie’s Mischief | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mary Who | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Flynn | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ido Solemnly Swear | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Despeightful | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spoonful of Sugar | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inez | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Misty Runaway | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
