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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 19, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Just Music 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Pin Up Betty 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Kathynmarissa 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Experimental 3.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Weather Delay 2.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
I’m Buzzy 0 0-1
4 4 I’m Buzzy 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Everlys Girl 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Hydra 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Slack Tide 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Sweet as Sugar 15.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Killy Start 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Handle On You 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Song of Solomini 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bells Tolling 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Dame Catherine 3.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Mel’s Angel 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Love Thyself 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Mastery’s Secret 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Awesome Glo 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Run for Your Honey 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Unicorn Cake 2.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Scarlet’s Dream 1.40 1.9 4-1
2 2 Sun and Wind 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Tomaki 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Bornforgreatness 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Baroness Bourbon 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lotsa Trouble 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Slammin Gold 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Doc Sullivan 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 King Freud 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Brick Ambush 1.60 3.5 7-1
2 2 Brown Don’t Stop 6.00 4 7-1
7 7 Taporical 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Perpetual Praise 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Juliana’s Rose 3.50 3.4 7-1
4 4 Dashing Della 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Big Hazel 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Hypnocurrency 5.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Pauciloquent 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Devilly 12.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Dance With Me Babe 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sue Ellen Mishkin 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Midtown Lights 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Gone and Forgotten 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Queens Masterpiece 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Missing Fortune 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Lady Mine 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Tempermental 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Timely Conquest 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Belle of the Ball 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Nobilis 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Little Skippy 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 No Surrender 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Growth Mindset 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 A Lister 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 I Love Cara 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Phantom Jewel 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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