Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nyquick | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mount Craig | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ben Franklin | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crossing | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vigano | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Keeper | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artwell | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heritage Park | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blame J D | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hightail Cowboy | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Campisi | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Promising Shoes | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Traffic Control | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Citrus Bay | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reef’s Destiny | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stomping Hotrod | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rosie’s Boy | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Summer in Aiken | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quebrancho | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Til Dawn | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Tap | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Is My Name | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Master of the Nite | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prince Is My Boy | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | County Judge | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Plate | 3.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notorious Sixohtwo | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hexcel | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capital Cause | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Humor Me Now | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Rex | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Calrissian | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Levy | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Colonel Barton | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Runningforcash | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Assumption | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Heir to Greatness | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Legendary Lore | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unstable Prince | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fetchs Brahm | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Howl Yeah | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Point Blank | 30.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Traffic Boss | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Motown Collection | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon On Fire | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Memes | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancin Rocket | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Brother Mike | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Third Watch | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scott City | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Daredevil | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Money Mo | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stillbilly | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light Horse Harry | 30.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Preacher’s Kid | 15.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Amazing Success | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Good Scout | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Midnight Special | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Invariably | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alvaaro | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Boomer | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Home Visit | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wellman | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystery Man | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mister Sharpie | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D Two | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Martini Blu | 8.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Family | 30.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bella’s Prayer | 50.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Populist | 3.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Infiltrator | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arollercoasterride | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fightertown | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deep State | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Crow | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | City of Clouds | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Franco | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caballo Feliz | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Super Constitution | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Phantom Ride | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zap Motion | 5.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Happy Is a Choice | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halmstad | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plausible Denile | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Bash | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Again | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Funny Uncle | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Houdini | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Afleet Sky | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Code Five | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spiritual Lady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | When I Look At You | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Pay No Hay | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy N Smiling | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Safecracker Sue | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wise Miss | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Big Calhouna | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bent Halo | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Catholic Sue | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | West Coast Harbor | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.