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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 20, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Teresa 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Dream On Cara 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Army of Thoughts 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Practical Miss 1.20 3.9 7-1
6 6 My Gorgeous 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Maxing the Bank 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fight Fiercely 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hot Rod Rumble 1.80 1.8 3-1
5 5 Face Abarrio 1.60 2.7 5-1
6 6 Provision 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Gold in Them Hills 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Hatch 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 In a Minute 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Braca 4.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Profitability 1.60 1.8 3-1
5 5 Irie Man 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Collected Special 2.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Wonder Wonderland 15.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Jaximus 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Daddy Knows 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Keystone Field 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Digital 2.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Allaboutthemoney 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Wild Banker 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Majestic Frontier 8.00 5 10-1
1 1 Pit Boss 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Next On Stage 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 By the Glass 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Celestial Express 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Autumn’s Turn 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Maggie’s Song 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Wake Up Lauren 2.50 6 11-1
4 4 You’re Forever 1.80 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nobodyridesforfree 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Goldini 4.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Co Conspirator 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Alfio 2.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Grumps Little Tots 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Ach Du Lieber 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Blake B. 2.50 7.9 15-1
2 2 Forever Wicked 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 4 Jemography 6.00 1 2-1
4 5 Lobsta 8.00 1.8 3-1
2B 3 Flint Ridge 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Business Model 2.50 5.5 10-1
5 6 Royal Tryst 12.00 5.7 11-1
1A 8 Majestic Eagle 2.50 6.7 13-1
7 9 Life Changer 4.50 7.2 14-1
8 10 Scilly Cay 6.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 American Gentleman 5.00 8.9 17-1
6 7 Sagamore Mischief 5.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Interborough S.) – Interborough S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hot Fudge 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Rosebug 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Secret Love 30.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Dr B 2.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Mosienko 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Ain’t Broke 1.80 6.9 13-1
3 3 Self Isolation 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Easy Play 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Highway Harmony 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Sandy’s Garden 3.00 4 8-1
1 1 Mim 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 George’s Vice 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Try It Again 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Ghostbustin 2.50 7.3 14-1
3 3 Lady Fortuna 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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