Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nickel Nickel | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wilkinson Warrior | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inspector | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Reward | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Logan’s Runner | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Dem Talking | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bointheback | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tequilamademedoit | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exclusive Order | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| Wilkinson Warrior | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gold Dilemma | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wontcatchhimtoday | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magical Monarch | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love Is Forever | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dry Dock | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jamaican War Cry | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Friend | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pralinepopsbottles | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coles Conundrum | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carbonite | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Sandman | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Professor Kool | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tap in Formation | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Counterfeitcurency | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ninja Prize | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Cat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quickening | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Afy Kid | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hit Me I’m Lucky | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smarten Up | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deplane | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wegottaguy | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Staff Sergeant | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Louie’s Law | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Brook | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Humble Joe | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Or Bull | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bubby Papermaker | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mob Justice | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Commission Always | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cauteloso | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lord Seabee | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Social Joe | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nomar’s Hope | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Principe | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sette Stelle | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sonet’s Name | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Angelic Gal | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astonishing Anabel | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luna T | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Road to Dreams | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Maria | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mazal Eighteen | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cup of Life | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frankly My Dear | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Takestwotowiggle | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 15.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Miss Alex | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alani | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Noisy On the Bay | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steal the Deal | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eclair Blanc | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mikey’s Song | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Telephone Line | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Merrychill | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tina Ballerina | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maddie Ten | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Abidale | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Izzybella | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shetalkstomuch | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Burano | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Collin’s Grey Lady | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Connelmaura | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scott Alaia | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tomarie | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clout Chaser | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Disco Ebo | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Bucchero | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Tabby | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mia Tosca | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Willemina | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girl Trouble | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deco Strong | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Portal One | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Manolete | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Satchel de Ritches | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | City Rage | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Andrew | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Center Mid Maddie | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mundo Mix | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bucks Are Moving | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mach Trial | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Saponara | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smarthumor | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Haney Boys | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | We Ready | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
