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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 27, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Foxy Cara 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Monetary Monarch 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Eastern Star 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Speightful Lily 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Happy’s Smile 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 She’s a Natural 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Echo in Eternity 3.50 6 11-1
4 4 Moonlit Weekend 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hang Tight 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lord Gatling 20.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Full Moon Fever 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Durkin’s Call 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Simply 3.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Keystone Field 1.60 3.6 7-1
3 3 Centavo 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Alfio 8.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Forty Two Ace 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Jimmy Winkfield S.) – Jimmy Winkfield S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Iridescent 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bergen 1.60 1.9 4-1
3 3 Stolen Magic 1.40 2.6 5-1
4 4 Air Cav 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 El Divino Nino 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Muazarah 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ridgewood Runner 8.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Have You Heard 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 First Trumpet 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Middle Market 3.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Cuando 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Cool Operator 4.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Sounds Like Fun 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Icy Flavor 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Donegal Surges 2.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Kaz Sugar Bank 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Bourbon’s Hope 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Beach Boy Al 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Flowing River 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Light Man 5.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Messi the Magician 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Value Area 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Martingale 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Patricia Ann 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Growth Rate 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Best Impression 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Gate Song 8.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Profitunity 20.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 You’re Forever 8.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 Shake the Sugar 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Maker’s Candy 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Saffa’s Day 6.00 4 7-1
8 8 Trafalgar 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Alternate Reality 20.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Champions Dream 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Bold Endeavor 6.00 6 11-1
5 5 Un Ojo 8.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Stolen Base 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mama’s Gold 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Overstep 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Suerte 3.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Mistical Curlin 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Duke of Gloucester 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Macallan 3.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Supreme Being 50.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Rocco Strong 8.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Sundaeswithsandy 15.00 8.2 15-1
8 8 Napa Valley 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Interborough S.) – Interborough S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hot Fudge 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 White Chocolate 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Rosebug 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Mosienko 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Secret Love 30.00 5 10-1
6 6 Self Isolation 15.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Dr B 2.50 6.6 12-1
7 7 Ain’t Broke 2.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Neuschwanstein 12.00 1 2-1
4 3 Von Hoff 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Assume Nothing 8.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Jungfrau 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Reddington 3.50 5.9 11-1
12 12 Magical Ways 15.00 8.4 16-1
3 2 Night Effect 15.00 10.4 20-1
10 10 Modern Era 50.00 11.5 22-1
1A 13 Mandatory 6.00 11.5 22-1
1 7 He’s Got It 6.00 12.7 24-1
13 14 Barnstorming 10.00 12.9 24-1
7 6 Guard of Honour 50.00 13.4 25-1
2 1 Thank You Jon 5.00 13.4 25-1
6 5 Magia Nera 8.00 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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