Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hidden Love | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shehasanattitude | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin Motion | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Acesanddiamonds | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | You Believe in Me | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moddie | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Spry | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mo Credo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bleep Bleep | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Throwin’ Shade | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guitar Doctor | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Risky Priority | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peanut N Ike | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goldenlute | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joey’s Lightening | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | K R Power Storm | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Carlos | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trippin On Beauty | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Josie’s Priority | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Habanero Tom | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dr Speck | 2.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Sassicaia | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | I Will Stand | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Rojo | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Into Wishing | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louis Le Grande | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vim and Vigor | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Money Machine | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spheroid | 4.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Machinegunpreacher | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vangilder | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Elusive War | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ferocity | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor Chow | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hulen | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McLean | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salado | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heza Priority | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gentleman’s Secret | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mias Moonbeam | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sermononthemount | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Second of July | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stephen’s Answer | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cousvinnysacanuck | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tappin Fora Dance | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nate’s Attack | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bode’s Light | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Birthday Party | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Affirm Chief | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Provost | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kingswood | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Thunder | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trappe Valley | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shut Up Man | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rare Stripe | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indimaaj | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Skippa | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kit Kat Kidd | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkin | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Custom Prayer | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A’debris | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One Tough Charlie | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classic Red Racer | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mor Big Lee | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gildersleeve | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love to Singh | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silky’s Dance | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.