Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paschal Moon | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scherzando | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Vine | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Z Dancer | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caldo Candy | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flying in Style | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flip’s Dream | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Memphis | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steady Progress | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | South Street | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phantom Jewel | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Bob | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seeking Unity | 1.20 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dads Good Runner | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Khali Magic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bernt Again | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clover Street | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cinderella’s Cause | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amity Island | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vallarand | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carbon | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | April Antics | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Say Florida Sandy S.) – Say Florida Sandy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rotknee | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | General Banker | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Andiamo a Firenze | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aggregation | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disarmed | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ocean’s Reserve | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Castlecove Spirit | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capital Idea | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conflicted | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rossington | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | J D Factor | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strategic Decision | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bounteous | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sardis | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Co Conspirator | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ach Du Lieber | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grumps Little Tots | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blake B. | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nobodyridesforfree | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Goldini | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mount Travers | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Friends Beer | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forever Wicked | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Vino | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ekwanok | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five to Two | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Lao | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mel’s Baby Sister | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poseidon’s Mist | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Bourbon | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elite Status | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mitole’s Girl | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| Mel’s Baby Sister | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vitaemi | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Darn That Song | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mariah’s Fortune | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captivating Cara | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Divine Cross | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Behind the Couch | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wartapped | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midtown Rose | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Towering Gaze | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Left Leaning Lucy | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Rego Park S.) – Rego Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Antonio of Venice | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischief Joke | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Detective Tom | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirteen Red Flags | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allied Attack | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Always a Warrior | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| Thirteen Red Flags | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Yuletide Gallop | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Goldfire | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Badlands Ruler | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Augustine Red | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Running Lucky | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lonesome Boy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perliano | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Game Misconduct | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stormquist | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rob the Bank | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vino Barbarino | 6.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.