Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Secret Tavern | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chupapi Munyayo | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pepperonikid | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Partyinthestreets | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forsaken | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Prince | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Madmartigan | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Water to Wine | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Commander | 4.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Commander | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whonew | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Brahms Image | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Double Tuff | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Shacks Way | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Scout | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystery Man | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Under the Gun | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | D Two | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Press Snooze | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Otis Otis Otis | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hooperdrivesthboat | 3.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Man On the Moon | 2.50 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wellman | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Square Deal | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bella’s Prayer | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Caballo Feliz | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fightertown | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Affable Monarch | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deep State | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phantom Ride | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Long Crow | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zap Motion | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jewelstown | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Constitution | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | El Franco | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Atomic Tone | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Albizu | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Colt Fiction | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lightning Struck | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nikolaou | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Wide Awake | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Circle Back Jack | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speight and Malice | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | St Andrews | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cyclone | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Keating | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trabr’s Creed | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Safe Bet | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simovic | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fashion King | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Millers Rite | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olivier | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | P R Call Me Maybe | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rocketeightyeight | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Millcreek Road | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| Olivier | 12 | 23-1 | |||
| Mr. Keating | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mo Winning | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gewurztraminer | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Footprint | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tejon Pass | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Andy’s Candy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Woodcourt | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willy D’s | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Next Level | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Searcy | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omar Comin | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leo Springs | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| Woodcourt | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Northern Diamond | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Condiment Girl | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Defiant | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghostly Night | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Meghan | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pens Street | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abby the Bull Dawg | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Forever Home | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Z Zs Red | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Winyah Bay | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Izeonpoint | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mena | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gettysburg Address | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold Sweep | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mikealicious | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chaperone | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Northern Flame | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cash Only | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Market Street | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maximus Magic | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Redfield | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hollywood Ending | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tirico | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rivalry | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sun Thunder | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bolzy | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rewire | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ben Diesel | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Shoes | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo’s Treasure | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lips Say Bliss | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Vicente (ARG) | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.