Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dream On Cara | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Purest Performance | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Teresa | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Army of Thoughts | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Montauk Mystique | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Practical Miss | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maxing the Bank | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Gorgeous | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Sweetest Princess | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Golden Rocket | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Fancy Azteca | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Risk Free | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Dame Cinco | 1.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Frau Diablo | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | To a T | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Talkin Pharoah | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Bad Larry | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Harvard | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Street Swagg | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Bayou Spirit | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Necromancer | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Luca | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Kant Beat the Rock | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rungius | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joking Way | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostlyprince | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnolia Midnight | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amedeus Music | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khafre | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Life and Light | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Eddie | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rudy Rudy Rudy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Castlecove Spirit | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crown That Saint | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Man Woody | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scoop the Pot | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble One | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Raleigh St. Clair | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | All the Rage | 4.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brown as a Biscuit | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vintage | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meraviglioso | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suspended Campaign | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Nyquist | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vegas Weekend | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sister Linda | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Holiday Jazz | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halo City | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gringotts | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Power Seeker | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Lord Captain | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Listentoyourheart | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Moon Madness | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jake Rocks | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Life Changer | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Midlaner | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Braca | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Compute It | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Profitability | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solo Tonight | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mama’s Dream | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irie Man | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Within View | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Manny Penny | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Financier | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Collected Special | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | I Got Busted | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.