Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Happy Talk | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amy Z | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catalyst | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Favorite Girl | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In Just My Heels | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midsummer March | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ava’s Look | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Jamie | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Off the Lam | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Campisi | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame J D | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heritage Park | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hightail Cowboy | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stomping Hotrod | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Traffic Control | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reef’s Destiny | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Promising Shoes | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Twisted Dixie | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jacks Spring Break | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Citrus Bay | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rosie’s Boy | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Art Queen | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Choctaw Grace | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pleasingly | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Show Me the Candy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gogo Bobbyjo | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Catty Cruise | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Vision | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Bolt | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Bird | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miesha | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boogie On | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Diamond | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Mother Mary | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chip Shortage | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | What’s to Do | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiff With Jimmy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pivosky | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bertie’s Cause | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Humor Me Jim | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m So Funny | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aztec Empress | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marco Sunset | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sistersouttachrome | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| Humor Me Jim | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Woods Miracle | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reaux Bina | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Driving | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miracle Shoes | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz a Strategy | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Sunshine | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Graceful Moon | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fabulous Tale | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Jet | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Texas Sequoia | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Latifah | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kantirun | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Class Girl | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Pat | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Theresasilverlinin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wings From Above | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Princess Says | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tyrona | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caricia | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Singing Emma | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Insightful Miss | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vow | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bet | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shell Shock | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lantern’s Candy | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Commander | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Devil Vision | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | W W Crazy | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nautilus (BRZ) | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Windcracker | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Beer Chaser | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Icarus | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Comply | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | That’s Something | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | The Reds | 3.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Huge Bigly | 8.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Greatheart | 4.50 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Home Run Trick | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystery Mo | 4.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Canadian Pharoah | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Legadema | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deboisblanc | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Copper Em | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheeky Gal | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Magic | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hittin My Stride | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ready for Trouble | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Asternia | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | January Jubilee | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Xtreme Diva | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Edistrudis | 5.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Keepsake | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Hush It Honey | 4.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Bayakoa S.) – Bayakoa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Comparative | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot and Sultry | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Alys Look | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Orchid | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Misty Veil | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Katherine | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skratch Kat | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shotgun Hottie | 2.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Butterbean | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Therideofalifetime | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bandera Azteca | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cathedral Beach | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wyfire | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Man On the Moon | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ian Glass | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red N Wild | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Special | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drifter | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Violent Gigi | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Happymac | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | See Spot Run | 30.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Risk Profile | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.