Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Next On Stage | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Extra Dirty | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celestial Express | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Autumn’s Turn | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Natural Fact | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maggie’s Song | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brown as a Biscuit | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Chuck Willis (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Printrack | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Victorious Wave | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Beachwalker | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Sunrise Journey | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Poppy’s Pride | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Grand Again | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| Deliziosa | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Winning Connection | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Trouble | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Lights | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aula | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Portos | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Feline | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roja Ligera | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lockbox | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bern Rosey Bern | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ribot’s Valentine | 0.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Try It Again | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mended We Stand | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Refuah | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clever Forever | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Huntsman | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Marty | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Supreme Being | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Horse Be With You | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Bustin Shout | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warriors Revenge | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 7 | Writer’s Regret | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Horn of Plenty | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2B | 3 | Quickflash | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Hot Rod Rumble | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Six Percent | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 8 | Bronx Bomber | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 9 | Breaking Stones | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | M B’s Munning | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Return the Ring | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Natural Harbor | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Joker | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin’ Super | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle George | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vodka Mardini | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pine Valley | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 10 | Leeloo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Crypto Mama | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2B | 7 | Taming the Tigress | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Portage | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Desert Dalliance | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 9 | Everyoneloveslinda | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Foot | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 6 | Self Isolation | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 8 | Beneath the Stars | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Retail Man | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In a Minute | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Collected Special | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Delaware Boyz | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arco Augusta | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Grad | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diannesretiring | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rory’s Orchard | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.