Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fumblerooski | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Honesty | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Sweetheart Dani | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mywifeknowsitall | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touched by Quality | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taking It All | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enticement | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Venezuelan Triumph | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fighter in the Win | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Abraham | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ribbons and Medals | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Read On | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Night Jumper | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lorenz (BRZ) | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stephen B Good | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bandero | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tio Tony | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paradise Drive | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Over the Surface | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Chico Malo | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marvino | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sadie the Goat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roscoe Village | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beira | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Goats On a Tree | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skinny Cosmo | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good Bright Flames | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enticing Sunset | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Papalote | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Great Illusion | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sting Music | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rapscallion | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poliglota | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Money in Motion | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Old Flag (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Matador | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Last Post | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exclusive Dancer | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ejtimaa | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Adios Asher | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justwaveandsmile | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ubiquitous | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unsociable | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Undalay | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gins and Tins | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jupiter Blues | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dollar Liberty | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Fool | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Earnings | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Sharp Cookie | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tour Guide | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iris’s Dream | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Warrior | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bedrock Birdie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Breezero | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Epona’s Hope | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avellino | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miguel’s Belle | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unrelentless | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | High Limit Room | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yes I Am Free | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Axthelm | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whenigettoheaven | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Run Curtis Run | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Disclosure | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin’ Jay | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | That’s Right | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prevalence | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Script | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Omaha City | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.