Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | North East Star (IRE) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Is | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Topolina | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Diamond | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zzyzx | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Commander | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Easter Coming Back | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be a Goldfish | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Pop | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Kat | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suzzie’s Darlin | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stay in the Game | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oil Can Knight | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Granada Flavor | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heartfullofstars | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sol Del Sur | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Panic Alarm (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Reiquist | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Swear Dave | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tarantino | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mackinnon | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mas Rapido (GB) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cane Creek Road | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Vantastic | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lovesick Blues | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Peace | 3.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beef Winslow | 2.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Two by Four | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Chilly | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Known Idea | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J Dutton | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commander D | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (San Marcos S.) – San Marcos S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Balladeer | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Missed the Cut | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shortman | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Abama (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eastern Ocean | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Prophet | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Planetario (BRZ) | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Las Virgenes S.) – Las Virgenes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Tempest | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nothing Like You | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kopion | 1.40 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Forty Eight | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Slam Smile | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kinza | 1.20 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mega Moon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Council | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lahaina Flavor | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crypto Man | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sanger | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St Ignacio | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Autoline (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Remote | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | National Generaux (IRE) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smooth Salute | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.