Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Message | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Special Stormy | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Put It Back Dave | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Donegal Dreamer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Flew Bombers | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’s All Ears | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Slew Skies | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legendary Dragon | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Garfish | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whatdidwedo | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ourperfectprincess | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aprettylulaby | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Debbies Passage | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barranca | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taylor’s Secret | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zero Point Zero | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frosty Brew | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Say What | 4.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gaby’s Promise | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Autumn Rob | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnolia Speed | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joseph H | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pound Out a Deal | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smokey G | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Top Priority | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | I Nita Warrior | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lexington River | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knight’s Gold | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Midland Kid | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half Guilty | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiznow Tom | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gone Solution | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gtuone Buck | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | True Crimson | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Deal With Him | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saucy Argument | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Proudtown | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Little Warrior | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clever Prince | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Razz | 4.50 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Soulology | 6.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reginald Aurelius | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pac the Pulpit | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Shehasanattitude | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen’s Soldier | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bitsy’s Double Day | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scrappy | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tensas Clear | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glorious Gears | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace’s Vision | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz a Breakup | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Naliya Marie | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s the Sheriff | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Acesanddiamonds | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Serena’s Serenade | 2.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Buffett | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Astern Banker | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Define | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Message Discipline | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grosse Tete Ian | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eagleford | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Awesome Cajun | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Strangers | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magnolia Ridge | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Iron N Steel | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D W Strong | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out Making Treble | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flower Cat | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Risky Priority | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lion Heart Legend | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risktaker | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Astrologysprotege | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Son Carlos | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cpriority | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seehoss | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heartthrob Halo | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock Solid Words | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet Again | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dylan’s Dream | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Run for Joy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Linda Faye | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tall Tale | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mallory Unbridled | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mary Who | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Exaggeration | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gemmy | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valerie’s Chance | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.