Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Eliminate | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heard On Thestreet | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mister B | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apuro | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Laser Sharp | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Whenlovetakesover | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Growth Mindset | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Model S | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Lister | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Surrender | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Skippy | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fluorescent Bay | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | M B’s Munning | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dontbelate | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Kingdom | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Uncle George | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Bayou Spirit | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Independent Paul | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Quick Hammer | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Timed Out | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slack Tide | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | To a T | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Pepper Grill | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trade Secret | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diva Banker | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vallarand | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet as Sugar | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mangia | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | City Blocks | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Geopolitics | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Account Receivable | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peony | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Welcome Back Babe | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stress Reliever | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Yola | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snappin Buttons | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | High Heat | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tommy Gun | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quickflash | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kenny Had a Notion | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie Five O | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anything Pazible | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joker Boy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince James | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fight Fiercely | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cheeky Tico | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Save | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moving Pictures | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Provision | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ski Patrol | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Street Cop Officer | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disappearance | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Light | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sorpreso | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Silo Ridge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucency | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Expected Value | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Law | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Duke of Gloucester | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allaboutthemoney | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thunderian | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Reserve Currency | 2.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Narciso Dali | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Certified Loverboy | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Heavenly Prize Invitational S.) – Heavenly Prize Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Brew | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretti Xtreme | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Portage | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Sugar | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Movie Moxy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Into Happiness | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spiked | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saddle Up Jessie | 1.60 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Book of Wisdom | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Troubled Luck | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apollonia C | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dolce Veloce | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mary Union Ave | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunday Girl | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Decente | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sonia’s Flame | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Inflammabelle | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elite Status | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.