Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Extra Dirty | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belliqueux | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Belle | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | E Stormy | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Emily | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amy’s Light | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brown as a Biscuit | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Chasing Daylight | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Reigning Chick | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Sail With the Wind | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Racing Colors | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Duckphat | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Jackson’s Dixie | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Shigeko | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Lady Fortuna | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tooshay | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teresa | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dramatic Effect | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prugova | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take Time to Dream | 1.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Debbie Darling | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Honorable Eye | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Night Effect | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Collect From Ike | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grandpa’s Kid | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jungfrau | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Centavo | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stjames | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Proven Hope | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fortune’s Nephew | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Please Be Nice | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graywing | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quick to Accuse | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kaz Sugar Bank | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Kraft | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | P Money | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lumenique | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daughter of Time | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stamp of Approval | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Music Melody | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yay Hooray | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarir | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Taco Lady | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| Daughter of Time | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Very Debonaire | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Newport Bridge | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Bargaining Power | 1.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Beary Funny | 1.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Dads Good Runner | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Golden Purchase | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Flashy Alex | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Basic Truth | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Grand Again | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Caragate | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Sweet Mystery | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Essaouira | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Rayya Valentine | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Toned Up | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Coppa Girl | 0.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Mytown Myrules | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 5 | I Feel the Need | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Outtawaterbury | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | This Time Yes | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Wisdom | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ava’s Uncle Billy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Merlin’s Moment | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Solo Empire | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Big Ego | 1.60 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dillon | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charles J | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Saint Gaudens | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Land d’Oro | 10.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Berning Beauty | 3.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.