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Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 18, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Eusebius 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 First Trumpet 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 2 Timing Difference 1.80 5 9-1
1A 6 Unique Insight 1.80 5.6 11-1
2 1 Allegrini 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Carolo Rapido 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Antenna 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Progeny 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Anna’s Wish 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Bustin Time 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Sun and Wind 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Classic Diva 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Union Lights 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Cheeky Tico 1.20 1.9 4-1
5 5 Street Cop Officer 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Disappearance 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Strong Light 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Norgay 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Midnight Worker 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Just Music 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Princess Vino 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Wake Up Lauren 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Monarch 2.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Autumn’s Turn 20.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Hot Candy 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dance With Me Babe 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Lady Banker 1.60 2.7 5-1
7 7 Pauciloquent 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Devilly 4.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Rosemary Potatoes 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Proper Grammar 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Lemon Taffy 20.00 8 15-1
8 8 Army of Thoughts 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 Eric From Miami 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Neptune Beach 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 5 Judge Rules 0.80 2.6 5-1
5 4 Arco Augusta 12.00 2.8 5-1
9 10 Manny Penny 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Mama’s Dream 10.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Irie Man 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Triple Word Score 30.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Air Force Cross 5.00 7.4 14-1
2 1 Jeffersons Ocean 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Keystone Field 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Holdtheflight 12.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Pit Boss 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Daddy Knows 3.00 4 7-1
2 2 Majestic Frontier 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Critical Threat 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Ministerial 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Blu Grotto 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Life and Light 50.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Prince of Joy 50.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Mr Phil 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Gut Feeling 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maddie May S.) – Maddie May S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 My Mane Squeeze 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Cara’s Time 12.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Bernietakescharge 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Munny Grab 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Landed 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Walk With Me 10.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Rumint 10.00 9.2 17-1
3 3 Baroness Bourbon 20.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 Midnight Concerto 15.00 9.8 19-1
8 8 Blue Eyed Warrior 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wanna Winna 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Waflr 6.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Watch Hill 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Good Reunion 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Dolly’s Bank 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Friday I’m in Love 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Compromiser 30.00 6 11-1
6 6 Fluorescent Bay 30.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Qorokwe 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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