Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Afilada | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Argentina Girl | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Grotte | 1.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Shasi | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Strange Fruit | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Alterina | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Bravo Regina | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kupp | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Life Changer | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Beachwalker | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tetsu | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Lost in Rome | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jake Rocks | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 98 | Big Engine | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Kingdom | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Liberty Flame | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mariah’s Fortune | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just a Nyquist | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Lilly | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Towering Gaze | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captivating Cara | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Mango | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vintage | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Augustine Red | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Badlands Ruler | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Got Busted | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Banker | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Solo in Paris | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Black Almighty | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Game Misconduct | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wecallemfuncoupons | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Midtown Lights | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bon Adieu | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My First Love | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | April Antics | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eros’s Girl | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clover Street | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carbon | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amity Island | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freddymo Factor | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Commerce Comet | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Casanova | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | Sunrise Journey | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chateau | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 11 | One More Brew | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3X | 8 | Breaking Stones | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Clem Labine | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 9 | Bourbon’s Hope | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 12 | Mr Phil | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 10 | Nobodyridesforfree | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Heir Port | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 4 | Can’t Beat Me | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stonewall Star | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Poppy | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Give Me Kisses | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Bustin Bay | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tough Street | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Taming the Tigress | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Towhead | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Desert Dalliance | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Baba | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Necessaryandproper | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mangia | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zhen Lou | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Snarky | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bourbon | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Majestic Laura Ann | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mother Mary | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | East Harbor | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frankie’s Rose | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Brooklyn Rosie | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dell Arte | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.