Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Joe Frazier | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wyfire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Alvaaro | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marvelous Thunder | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Risk Profile | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strings | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rosie’s Boy | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | J J’s Joker | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Power Slam | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Western Ghent | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sound Doctrine | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pass Line | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seas of Normandy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | We Miss Arlington | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tirico | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Foxy Zorra | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lilms Constitution | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wampus Kitten | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Not a Joke | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Delacina | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Coast Harbor | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen of Salsa | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Hottie | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Taker Back | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Good Scout | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Struck | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Money Run | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | W W Crazy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drill’s Li’l Man | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speight and Malice | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deflater | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kowboykabin | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Essential Business | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halaga | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La V. | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simona’s Choice | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | H. T. Xena | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catchusifyoucan | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Triple L’s Cutter | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Diva Treva | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She Dazzle | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alsanah | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Simovic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Worker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don Corleone | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pineland | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Musical Maestro | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Millers Rite | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Memphis Pharoah | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Millcreek Road | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | True Faith | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bettys Cash | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Bettys Cash | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blame J D | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Macho Ronnie | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Ten Stadium | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Macho Rocco | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Table Money | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reef’s Destiny | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Allo Enry | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Citrus Bay | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hess | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | C Z Rocket | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Edge to Edge | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ninja Warrior | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kneedeepinsnow | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Macron | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Payne | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Accidental Hero | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Derby Date | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spankster | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Didja | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Beraberabera | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time Andbeyond | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Patton’s Tizzy | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Strategy | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Welcometoarkansas | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Task | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bet All the Gold | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bo Nugget | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Turquoise Blue | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strike Ridge | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hayahlookatme | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Didja | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Kissofthenile | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rocket Sanders | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.