Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Girvina | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shirl’s Delight | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiescent | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Dream Machine | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Jersey Girl | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Split Screen | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Paschal Moon | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Krystalheir | 0.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happy’s Smile | 0.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Cara | 0.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eastern Star | 0.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Natural | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Moonlit Weekend | 0.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saka Shocka | 3.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Squid Gamer | 4.50 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Vine | 5.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Z Dancer | 8.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flying in Style | 8.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mugsy Fury | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roman Goddess | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perpetual Praise | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honest Banker | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lockbox | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Girl Jal | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Feline | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Slack Tide | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midtown Rose | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hydra | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meraviglioso | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet as Sugar | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Darn That Song | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cupids Girl | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Power Seeker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Harvard | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Emerald Forest | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Surprise Boss | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Midlaner | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stolen Base | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wake Surf | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Gentleman Joe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Co Conspirator | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Banker | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hang Tight | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Medication | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grumps Little Tots | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alfio | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Datesfreedom | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forever Wicked | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Olympic Dreams | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Law Professor | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Guntown | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Synthesis | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Dance Code | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Divine Armor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Anejo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Winit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Petulante | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Profitability | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drinking Solo | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Li’l Lang | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Grad | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swept | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Saxon Story | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jeffersons Ocean | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frankie R. | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.