Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Imperial Gun | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blown Cover | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Footprint | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mikealicious | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximus Magic | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gewurztraminer | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seize the Grey | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stronsino | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Jalen Run | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Excitable Boy | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Otto | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ryno Wrecker | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rocky Top Mischief | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Buzzer | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anotherbottle | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daily Grind | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo El Grande | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clearwater Sunset | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Coach Jimi D | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cruise Missile | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motown Dynamic | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bang Bang Fury | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Havaha | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vinobello | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bellofthebluegrass | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brownie Bay | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pewter’s Promise | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Favorite Outlaw | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sinner’s Sin | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | W W Scout’s Honor | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gunflash | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lake Radio | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unraptured | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Late Nite Radio | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breslau | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Efficiency | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speightsville | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cold as Hell | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy Talk | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Midsummer March | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 8 | 8 | Enigmatic | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Talk | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Favorite Girl | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Who’s Ticket | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midsummer March | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tap the Champagne | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peppers Girlfriend | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catholic Sue | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Her Best Friend | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Off the Lam | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Safecracker Sue | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chrome Baby | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Polterer | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pledgeofallegiance | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Megan’s Honor | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Hat Willie | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Infiltrator | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Underhill’s Tab | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Line Overdrive | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sun Thunder | 1.40 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Keating | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cosmo | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catdaddy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Inexorable | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Backside Buzz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Haulin Ice | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Snow Flurry | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Linnie Mae | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classy Edge | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kava | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Queen Mallard | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Aurora Gee | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Petit Jean | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aloha Baby | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Presleys Turn | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Erumpent | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Razorback | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Sparkly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jonesborohurricane | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Carousel S.) – Carousel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Adaline Julia | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zeitlos | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho Macho Girl | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Be Clear | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I’m the Boss of Me | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Backyard Money | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sarah Harper | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pillbox | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chandana | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Honeybee S.) – Honeybee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapit Jenallie | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Tapit Jenallie | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Neom Beach | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Band of Gold | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Midshipman’s Dance | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | West Omaha | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alys Beach | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Cat | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tapit Jenallie | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | In Just My Heels | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lemon Muffin | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edistrudis | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Razorback H.) – Razorback H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notary | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 8 | Magic Tap | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Octane | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speed Bias | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | U. S. Army | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Escapologist | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frosted Departure | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Notary | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Promise Keeper | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bolzy | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | O P Firecracker | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Seize the Night | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ain’t Life Grand | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Rising | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Rebel S.) – Rebel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common Defense | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Timberlake | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Common Defense | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Lagynos | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carbone | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Timberlake | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Common Defense | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dimatic | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Woodcourt | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Northern Flame | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Just Steel | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mena | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tejon Pass | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Grant | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Next Level | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Time for Truth | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Give Me a Reason | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Will Take It | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Give Me a Reason | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crushed It | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sitka | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thousand Springs | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Will Take It | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Code Word | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gotta Have Dreams | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charleston | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | God’s Country | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yell County | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sicilian Defense | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | P J’s Song | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Just Be Happy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.