Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jungfrau | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arrebato | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steady Progress | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Youbetterbejoking | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Atlanta’s Acuna | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Purchase | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Love Cara | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silken Dollar | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shinfull | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harlan’s Bond | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Mine | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruvies in Time | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sue Ellen Mishkin | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I’m Buzzy | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 8 | Violent Vixen | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Taming the Tigress | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Everyoneloveslinda | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It Takes Heart | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Buzzy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Icy Reply | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shesalittle Edgy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Dame Cinco | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gun Maestro | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | South Street | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Screw Loose | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red D G P | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chalky Cat | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Again | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sorpreso | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Alex | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mudville Nine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Union Fleet | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aula | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Truth | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rose’s Pepino | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Horse Be With You | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | October Bliss | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Refuah | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amedeus Music | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby the Tank | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Winning Connection | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | H P Moon | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grandpa’s Kid | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Portos | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Collection Day | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Montebello | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Complete Agenda | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flash Kiss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next On Stage | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Run for Your Honey | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Race Day | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Progeny | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Next On Stage | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grace Reformed | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Handle On You | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diane’s Merlot | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alley’s Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Safalow’s Mission | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Light Man | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clever Forever | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Huntsman | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Provision | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doc Advantage | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thank You Jon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Kraft | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Messi the Magician | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.