Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Engine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Printrack | 0.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon’s Hope | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Horn of Plenty | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nolo Contesto | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Beat Me | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dorth’s Sol Dancer | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soloshot | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tavin | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mysaria | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speights Dance | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amy’s Light | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heard On Thestreet | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bounteous | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sounds Like Fun | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Have You Heard | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Middle Market | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Conniving | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raleigh St. Clair | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | O’Conner Sunset | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Disarmed | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 3 | Saffa’s Day | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Thrill of It | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Secret Rules | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Cowan | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Gentleman Joe | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cavendish | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dudley Dickerson | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Level Up | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Phantom Jewel | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hazon | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle Eddie | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shamrock Shake | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Growth Mindset | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pine Alley | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Lister | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| Phantom Jewel | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Brown Sugar | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sohana | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlet’s Dream | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Perfect Mistake | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thirteen Red Flags | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Blocks | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brown Suga Babe | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Starry Midnight | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sail With the Wind | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lavon | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kara Para | 1.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jsk Lucky’s Pushpa | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shigeko | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Love | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Principessa | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Lady Fortuna | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freddymo Factor | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Glo | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky and Gorgeous | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dactilografa | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Khali’s Storm | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Liana | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poseidon’s Mist | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alotta Jays | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jen’s Kiss | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Rebel | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | East Harbor | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.