Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Invaluable | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Catchusifyoucan | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Invaluable | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Austrian Navy | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Koala | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Awesome View | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Z Zs Red | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cost a Fortune | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Windy Slew | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Mia Baby | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Street Painter | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | Street Painter | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Natural Touch | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tekana | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kantirun | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Arden Ar | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sophie’s Star | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Cherokee | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah in the House | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Southern Speight | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Bells | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Honey Pat | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Jet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Atomic Tone | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drill’s Li’l Man | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Creekmore | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Under the Gun | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stomping Hotrod | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baba’s Boy | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Violent Gigi | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D Two | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Black Storm | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reef’s Destiny | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Press Snooze | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mor Big Lee | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lookster | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tanya Showers | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Oak | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hayek | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pun Intended | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Impel | 1.60 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Merasol Sugar | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Bump in the Night | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Fashion Idol | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Lil’ Bit of Chrome | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Dr. Woods Miracle | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Catty Cruise | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Global Risk | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Red Sunshine | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Erumpent | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Graceful Moon | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Domina | 3.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Raetastic | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Amoureux | 5.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dreamful | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marco Sunset | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fearless Kristie | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Laughter | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful and Bold | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | She Be Sheehan | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m So Funny | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salsalita Verde | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dirty Flirt | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pivosky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Texas Twinkies | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Komorebino Omoide (JPN) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cloud Without Rein | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Look Sharp | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kant Conquer Me | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kingmaker | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Streakin Deacon | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Millcreek Road | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Violent River | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Angell | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Day Jo | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kissofthenile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Happy Tears | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Secret Honor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Easy Action | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Squire Creek | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Hornet | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Top Gunner | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Echo Again | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frat Pack | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Life Is Hard | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vulcan | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Is a Choice | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spend Benjamins | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Swift as I Am | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kokomo Starlet | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ngala | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adamantly | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiz a Strategy | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Texas Sequoia | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Day Gold | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bee Branch | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Driving | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Range Life | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Denada | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Principal Anita | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bonnie Lass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.