Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prodigious Bay | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rackataptap | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Devil | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chelsea Dagger | 3.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Galactic Empire | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chisholm Trail | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vincenzino | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Business as Usual | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | West Coast Harbor | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just an Opinion | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Not a Joke | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | St. Olaf Rose | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spacitygal | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Terre | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Classified | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Devious Diva | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Big Calhouna | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Provost | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Bayron | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Lamutanaatty | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Wildwood Ministry | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Raymond | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Good Heart | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Strings | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spotted Bull | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Baseball Politics | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moneystrike | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dalton’s Rutrow | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Benny | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bet All the Gold | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Welcometoarkansas | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Young Jonesboro | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zippy Mark | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stillbilly | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perscripture | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crime Zone | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Biscuits | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Won Ninety | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Get Away With It | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Clear Echo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Scout | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Optimal Courage | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blow Torch | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eternally Grateful | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ian Glass | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Junior Bug | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Larry’s Legend | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Tap | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo Moves | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strasse | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Diversion | 1.40 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Strickland | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Abby’s Encore | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince Is My Boy | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bubby Boy | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Is My Name | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Super Nova | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mansoura | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Andy Mort | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Devil’s Shadow | 50.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kentucky Ice | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Game Keeper | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chun Money | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moneyshot | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top of the Street | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocketeightyeight | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Manfredi | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Scatter | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Militant | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just Be Happy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Braven | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Melt With You | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dream Streak | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flashy Lass | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paris Style (FR) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Makemebelieve | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Too Pretty | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Good Fortune | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Insensitive | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Xylophone | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tyrona | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghaaleb’s Ranger | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My My | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Band | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lacie Be Good | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Triple L’s Cutter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Amazing Success | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Preacher’s Kid | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunday Spirit | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Great Barrier | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Safety | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dicey Wager | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swift Key | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rustic Affair | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Classic Cinema | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Preparedness | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tommy Tri | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Berryville Bullet | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bet On Tiz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.