Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Autumn Evening | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catching Heat | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Looks First | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Grace | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Thinking | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pit Boss | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swift Tap | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blu Grotto | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | My Friends Beer | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Travers | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Wicked | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mr Phil | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Friday I’m in Love | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Waflr | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charming Jim | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Watch Hill | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neptune Beach | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Qorokwe | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frankie R. | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ring Me | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Play | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Express | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Xcellent Men | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Michael | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Party With Smarty | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midway Lights | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cage Match | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mandatory | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kant Beat the Rock | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hatch | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Night Effect | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Notah | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | M B’s Munning | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Plate Special | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red D G P | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fortune’s Nephew | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Locke and Key | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kentucky Joker | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Messi the Magician | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon’s Hope | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paschal Moon | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | P Money | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waralo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Certified Loverboy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Principe d’Oro | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Expected Value | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostlyprince | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suerte | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mistical Curlin | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Duke of Gloucester | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shipsational | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vespucci | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lucency | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Correction S.) – Correction S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hot Fudge | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Munny | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kant Hurry Love | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Defiant | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Music City Star | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Love | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baba | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Risk Free | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cool Operator | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Cuando | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He Has It All | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | True Connection | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Trumpet | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Society Man | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Operator | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Glint | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J D Factor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mitole’s Diamond | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.