Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Macron | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackman | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atta Party | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spankster | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Rocket | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speight and Malice | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Albizu | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Secret Tavern | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brahms Image | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vying Edge | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Choctaw Zip | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chupapi Munyayo | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hoppin John | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arkansas Zong | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Cougar | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rudiano | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Water to Wine | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Commander | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Under Oath | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Absolute Chaos | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nelson Avenue | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Improbable Journey | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tim Tal | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rithm Nic | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Higher Standard | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Juilliard | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Backside Buzz | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Black Apple | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Man in the Can | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Topf Road Rules | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shake Up | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bettys Cash | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dinner At Crumpies | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Ronnie | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Allo Enry | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sistersouttachrome | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mocha Kiss | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiff With Jimmy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Humor Me Jim | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Town Sis | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jubilant Joanie | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamba Out | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pioneer Parade | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stealthespotlight | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Subway Susie | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thisonesforlove | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Harmonica | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Catalyst | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Jamie | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amy Z | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Under the Palms | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Ariel | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Dancer | 1.60 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Suena | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Social Affair | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taker Back | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ava Moon Pie | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arollercoasterride | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legendary Lore | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jewelstown | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dog Red | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runningforcash | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zap Motion | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speitful Sam | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Sweet Thang | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Flat | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Desert Wolf | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jim and Jim | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ronaldinho | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Django | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Native Land | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Melt With You | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Elko County | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Riyadh Moon | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yell County | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gotta Have Dreams | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tell ‘Em I’m Comin | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Always Be Smart | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Higginsville | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Azeri S.) – Azeri S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hot and Sultry | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamore | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Comparative | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saddle Up Jessie | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Misty Veil | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soul of an Angel | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shotgun Hottie | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiny Temper | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Banterra | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Condiment Girl | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Band | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Filly Crystal | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blame Day | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pate | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischievous Gal | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Kisses | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Pachanga Loca | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Key to Success | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blessed Assurance | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Little Sister Sue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Unstable Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.